1
Model Assumptions
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Platform Entry EBITDA
$5.0M
Entry Multiple (EV/EBITDA)
8.0x
AI EBITDA Lift (Yr 1-2)
35%
AI EBITDA Lift (Yr 3+)
70%
Annual Bolt-On EBITDA Added
$0.0M
Bolt-On Entry Multiple
5.0x
Dividend Payout Ratio
40%
Exit / Implied Multiple
9.0x
HoldCo Overhead (Annual)
$1,200K
Projection Years
8
Debt Rate on Bolt-Ons
8.0%
Bolt-On Leverage (% Debt)
50%
2
HoldCo Financial Trajectory
Global cash flows across the entire holding company — platform EBITDA, bolt-on contributions, free cash flow, and cumulative capital deployment.
EBITDA Build-Up
Platform (AI-enhanced) + cumulative bolt-on acquisitions
Free Cash Flow & Distributions
FCF split between dividends and reinvestment
Cumulative Cash Flows
Running total: equity invested vs. dividends returned vs. equity value
Implied HoldCo Valuation
Enterprise value trajectory at current exit multiple
3
Detailed P&L & Cash Flow Table
4
Scenario Analysis
Bear and bull cases are derived from your current slider values. Bear applies a pessimistic haircut to AI lift, bolt-on pace, and exit multiple. Bull applies an optimistic premium. All three scenarios use the same entry assumptions.
Scenario Comparison — Year 8 Outcomes
EBITDA, HoldCo value, cumulative dividends, and total return across bear / base / bull
| Metric | Bear | Base (Current) | Bull |
|---|
5
Partner Compensation
Standard PE economics: GPs earn a 2% management fee on invested capital and receive 20% carry on profits. All dividends flow to LPs. Your salary is included in the overhead figure above.
Management Fee %
2.0%
GP Carry %
20%
Your Share of GP
33%
Your Annual Salary
$250K
Alternative Salaried Job Baseline
$750K/yr
GP vs LP — Cumulative Economics
GP income (mgmt fee + carry) vs. LP dividends
Your Personal Economics
Cumulative cash comp vs. alt job baseline vs. carry value